Is Russia losing this? It kind of feel like they are.
| :;:;:;:;;;:;:;:: | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | lugenpresse | 03/14/22 | | Townes Van Zandt | 03/14/22 | | lsd | 03/14/22 | | Eric Bumpus of Texas | 03/14/22 | | dont run libs kyle sees u (attacking him 1st) | 03/14/22 | | RSF's dead brother | 03/14/22 | | napoleone | 03/14/22 | | :;:;:;:;;;:;:;:: | 03/14/22 | | Long Doobsian Flying J RedWang Hehe-ing | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | A Banh Mi Nation | 03/14/22 | | \"\"\'\"\"\"\' | 03/14/22 | | Mud | 03/14/22 | | '"''"'"'''""" | 03/14/22 | | Frank Lloyd Wrong | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | Trump Did Nothing Wrong | 03/14/22 | | '"''"'"'''""" | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | JohnPaulStevens | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | queensbridge benzo | 03/14/22 | | TEEN W0LF | 03/14/22 | | JohnPaulStevens | 03/14/22 | | Texas Instruments | 03/14/22 | | queensbridge benzo | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | Frank Lloyd Wrong | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | '""''''"''"'' | 03/14/22 | | queensbridge benzo | 03/14/22 | | '"''"'"'''""" | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | radahan's horse tp | 03/14/22 | | '"''"'"'''""" | 03/14/22 | | '"''"'"'''""" | 03/14/22 | | Gay Grandpa | 03/14/22 | | ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,.,,..,..,.,,..,.,,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | "''"'"''''"""'" | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | RSF's dead brother | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | RSF's dead brother | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | "''"'"''''"""'" | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | "''"'"''''"""'" | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | Piotr Nicolau | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | "''"'"''''"""'" | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | Anne Frank sporting a full bush | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,.,,..,..,.,,..,.,,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ..,.,.,,,,.,.,..,.,,,.,..,,.,.,,, | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ..,.,.,,,,.,.,..,.,,,.,..,,.,.,,, | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ..,.,.,,,,.,.,..,.,,,.,..,,.,.,,, | 03/14/22 | | ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,.,,..,..,.,,..,.,,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ..,.,.,,,,.,.,..,.,,,.,..,,.,.,,, | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 |    | Date: March 14th, 2022 5:24 AM
Author: ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,... |
| ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | Drunkard | 03/14/22 | | Gay Grandpa | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | Long Doobsian Flying J RedWang Hehe-ing | 03/14/22 | | .- .-. . .-. . .--. - .. .-.. . | 03/14/22 | | Gay Grandpa | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | DevryMastersCandidate | 03/14/22 | | Gay Grandpa | 03/14/22 | | Long Doobsian Flying J RedWang Hehe-ing | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | Drunkard | 03/14/22 | | .- .-. . .-. . .--. - .. .-.. . | 03/14/22 | | Long Doobsian Flying J RedWang Hehe-ing | 03/14/22 | | Gay Grandpa | 03/14/22 | | Piotr Nicolau | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | '"'"'"''" | 03/14/22 | | RSF's dead brother | 03/14/22 | | '"'"'"''" | 03/14/22 | | Drunkard | 03/14/22 | | .- .-. . .-. . .--. - .. .-.. . | 03/14/22 | | '"'"'"''" | 03/14/22 | | .- .-. . .-. . .--. - .. .-.. . | 03/14/22 | | .,..,....,...,.,.,....,,....,......,......,,.,.,.. | 03/14/22 | | ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,. | 03/14/22 | | .........,,,,, | 03/14/22 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: March 14th, 2022 1:40 AM
Author: :;:;:;:;;;:;:;::
they
haven't taken a major city, are barely making progress, taking huge
troop/vehicle losses and time isn't on their side with the season
changing and with the sanctions destroying their economy.
at minimum, this wasn't worth it even if they are able to occupy
all of Ukraine. at worst they will flat out have to leave with their
tail between their legs. I am starting to think it will be the latter,
unless China bails them out, but I don't see that happening.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144111) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:39 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
Russian
forces again conducted few ground offensives on March 13, only securing
new terrain in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts. Russian forces
predominantly took measures to restore combat readiness and regrouped
combat units as of noon local time on March 13.[1] Russian forces
continue to assemble reinforcements and attempt to improve logistical
support in both the Kyiv and southern operational directions. Russian
forces may intend to resume larger-scale attacks on both axes of advance
in the coming week, but will likely take longer to (or may never)
cohere the combat power necessary to complete the encirclement of Kyiv.
Key Takeaways
Russian forces did not conduct offensive operations northwest of Kyiv for the third day in a row.
Russian forces did not conduct attacks toward northeastern Kyiv
and prioritized reinforcing their lines of communication and logistics
routes.
Russian and proxy forces successfully captured several towns
north of Mariupol in Donetsk Oblast on March 13, the only offensive
ground actions of the day.
Ukrainian protests in occupied Kherson are likely expanding.
Russia is diluting its international deployments in Armenia and
Nagorno-Karabakh to reinforce operations in Ukraine and pulling
additional forces from Russia’s far east.
Ukrainian intelligence reported Russia will deploy preexisting
pro-Assad Syrian units to Ukraine, in addition to previously announced
plans to recruit new Syrian and Libyan mercenaries. These forces are
unlikely to enable Russia to favorably change the balance of forces
around Kyiv in the next week but may provide a longer-term pool of
low-quality replacements.
Russian ballistic missiles killed 35 Ukrainians at the Yavoriv
military training center near Poland in a likely effort to interdict
Western aid deliveries to Ukraine—following up on the Kremlin’s March 12
announcement it will treat international aid shipments as military
targets.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-13
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144764) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:37 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144756) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:44 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144780) |
Date: March 14th, 2022 4:35 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
Are you guys literally this stupid?
Do you know how much food Ukraine ships to the rest of Europe? Look it up.
If you control Ukraine, you can starve Europe at will.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144425) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:37 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144754) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:44 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
Date: March 14th, 2022 4:35 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
Are you guys literally this stupid?
Do you know how much food Ukraine ships to the rest of Europe? Look it up.
If you control Ukraine, you can starve Europe at will.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144425)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144781) |
Date: March 14th, 2022 5:01 AM
Author: Gay Grandpa
The Russians are not leaving Ukraine intact.
These Bilyan-Gulyan freaks will pay dearly for the Russian boys they killed with their NATO collaborators.
Already this thing is becoming an absolute slaughter. Soon
Putin will lose patience and utilities will be cut to every major city.
This is a do or die moment for Russia and Putin knows it.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144468) |
Date: March 14th, 2022 5:24 AM
Author: ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,.,,..,..,.,,..,.,,.
i
don't see how. ukraine's military is getting smashed to bits more and
more by the day. the thing to look for is 'battle of the bulge'-style
counter-offensives which push the opposing force back in a substantial
way. if the defender is constantly on the defense, and is consistently
losing ground rather than taking ground back, that's militarily pretty
bad. it usually indicates problems with the defender's capacity to
resupply or replenish forces.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144497) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 5:31 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
What are you talking about. There is no "Ukraine military."
There are pockets of soldiers, scattered and dispersed among the
civilian population. All C&C is lost. They have few tanks or
airplanes left, most of which is hidden away in small pockets and not
capable of being massed in any meaningful maneuver element.
They were able to use western Ukraine as something of a safe harbor. Even those are getting absolutely pummeled now.
These reports you see of "train carrying children" being blown
up? Lol, those were carrying troops, civilian "volunteers" and weapons.
Boom dead.
Civilian building? Lol was a makeshift command center. Boom dead.
Everything the MSM tells you the Russians are doing bad, it's a
half-truth that tells you exactly what Ukraine has lost. When they
emphasize attacks on nuclear plants, that means they've lost
infrastructure. When they emphasize attacks on civilian buildings, that
means they've lost bases or military stores.
Just look at the amount of shit the Russians are capturing as
the Ukrainians go from retreat to retreat. Entire bases and arsenls are
being abandaon, the Ukrainians can't run way fast enough.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSdFNebMQo0
All those cool toys we sent to Ukraine? Boom. Of course, that's what the defense contractors wanted.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144507) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:39 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144765) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:44 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
Date: March 14th, 2022 5:31 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
What are you talking about. There is no "Ukraine military."
There are pockets of soldiers, scattered and dispersed among the
civilian population. All C&C is lost. They have few tanks or
airplanes left, most of which is hidden away in small pockets and not
capable of being massed in any meaningful maneuver element.
They were able to use western Ukraine as something of a safe harbor. Even those are getting absolutely pummeled now.
These reports you see of "train carrying children" being blown
up? Lol, those were carrying troops, civilian "volunteers" and weapons.
Boom dead.
Civilian building? Lol was a makeshift command center. Boom dead.
Everything the MSM tells you the Russians are doing bad, it's a
half-truth that tells you exactly what Ukraine has lost. When they
emphasize attacks on nuclear plants, that means they've lost
infrastructure. When they emphasize attacks on civilian buildings, that
means they've lost bases or military stores.
Just look at the amount of shit the Russians are capturing as
the Ukrainians go from retreat to retreat. Entire bases and arsenls are
being abandaon, the Ukrainians can't run way fast enough.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSdFNebMQo0
All those cool toys we sent to Ukraine? Boom. Of course, that's what the defense contractors wanted.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144507)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144782) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 5:37 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
What are you talking about.
Operation Anaconda
Operation Red Wing
FOB Keating
That's just off the top of my head, and that's just in Afghanistan.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144515) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:47 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
ROFL. Hold on for a second.
ROFL ROFL ROFL ROFL ROFL ROFL.
Literally every element involved in Anaconda called it the stupidest clusterfuck ever that needlessly got people killed.
Charging UP, LITERALLY UP, a mountain against entrenched Uzbek,
Chechens and other Arab fighters? LJL jesus fucking christ you should
hear some of what the people who actually fought there have to say about
Anaconda.
They actually ran out of Apaches to support the troops on the
ground because they all got shot up by AA, and had to ask the Marines to
send in Cobras. They actually had to activate National Guard CSAR
because all the conventional Army CSAR units were shot up. They actually
had PJs (pararescue) DO A FUCKING AIRBORNE DROP INTO A MINEFIELD in a
desperate attempt to rescue wounded, because they couldn't get
helicopters in. Because they couldn't get our troops out, they ended up
bleeding out.
It was an unequivocable clusterfuck of a disaster,
representative of the failures of early GWOT. Franks and Paul Bremer
(responsible for early Iraq clusterfucks) are universally hated by
soldiers who fought under them
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144790)
|
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:45 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
Date: March 14th, 2022 5:58 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
LJL. I was at Ft. Benning when the 3rd Ranger Battalion returned
from Anaconda. Everyone was in awe of them since they were one of the
few guys with CIBs and combat patches at the time. But even they were
pissed AF at that clusterfuck of an operation.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144536)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144785) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:02 PM
Author: Anne Frank sporting a full bush
HFS YOU WERE AT FORT BENNING!!!
I was actually in Afghanistan in March of 2002. Go sit in the corner and shut the fuck up.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44149074)
|
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:55 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Anaconda
Result: Coalition victory, Taliban evacuates but suffers heavy casualties
US: 8 dead, Taliban: 80 dead
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144818) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 9:29 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
LJL just to kill 80 Taliban you:
1. Allow Bin Laden to slip away due to poor planning and mission execution (blocking force failed to get in position)
2. Land your main assault force in the wrong valley, into a minefield and into an ambush
3. Lose helicopters and cause millions of dollars in repair
costs/losses (these losses have implications to later missions which no
longer have these air assets available)
4. Spend millions of dollars worth of bombs and munitions, to kill 80 Taliban
5. Temporarily drive the remaining Taliban out of the valley, only for them to retake it when we inevitably pull out
6. Get 8 of our guys killed and 72 wounded
Right. Awesome victory.
p.s. That 80 dead number is also probably an exaggeration.
Operation Red Wing only involved something like 10 Taliban, but US DOD
claimed it was several hundred.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144955) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 5:57 AM
Author: ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,.,,..,..,.,,..,.,,.
if
a severe and sustained pro-government insurgency develops in ukraine,
that would be a significant problem for russia. i don't dispute that.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144535) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 6:34 AM
Author: ..,.,.,,,,.,.,..,.,,,.,..,,.,.,,,
So
you just looked at the countries where insurgencies developed over past
30 years, saw they were all poor, and concluded that insurgencies only
develop in poor countries. Scholarship!
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144578) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 6:45 AM
Author: ..,.,.,,,,.,.,..,.,,,.,..,,.,.,,,
Wow you studied it, congrats
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144587) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 6:57 AM
Author: ..,.,.,,,,.,.,..,.,,,.,..,,.,.,,,
So
you didn’t study Spain during peninsular war, Finland winter war, or
any other example that runs contrary to your theoretical framework?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144600) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 7:40 AM
Author: ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,.,,..,..,.,,..,.,,.
the
napoleonic wars in iberia were more of an international effort than
just a local insurgency, though. the brits HEAVILY backed the rebel
factions, and spaniards (like the finns) were also intensely
nationalistic. russia has tried to defuse the nationalism issue to some
extent by claiming they want a negotiated settlement rather than regime
change or outright conquest.
also, the finns ended up permanently losing territory in their
wars, including lake ladoga, one of the crown jewels of their historical
civilization, as well as vyborg/viipuri. when a mass as immense as
russia smashes into you, it always hurts.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144663) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:38 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
Bringing
up the Peninsular War is daft. Bringing up the Winter War shows you're
confusing "guerilla warfare" with an "insurgency."
In the former, there remains a semblance of an organized
military that is capable of maneuver and unity of command. Portions of
the Colonial Army conducted guerilla warfare, for example, Ethan Allen's
Green Mountain Boys of Vermont.
In the latter, there is no or limited unity of command. For
example, Vietnam is very confusing. On the one hand, you had elements of
an insurgency in the activities of the Viet Minh and later the Viet
Cong. However, by 1968, particularly after Tet, it was more or less a
conventional war fought in the jungle, with the Viet Cong taking orders
and coordinating their movements with the NVA. So in that sense, the
"insurgency" that began in South Vietnam transformed into a "guerilla
war" engaged by a hostile nation (North Vietnam). That is actually when
the USA had the greatest chance of victory, but we chickened out.
Learn the difference and maybe I can educate you some more.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144759)
|
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:51 AM
Author: ..,.,.,,,,.,.,..,.,,,.,..,,.,.,,,
Yes I see that you can sort things into neat little buckets that fit your overall theory about the Science of Insurgency
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144805) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 8:46 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
Those sound like the conditions that other pro-Russia poasters are predicting Putin will create in Ukraine
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144787) |
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Date: March 14th, 2022 9:00 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
Except
what else did the host countries of modern-day insurgencies lack? Or,
why don't certain poor, filthy countries develop insurgencies?
There's something called a strong central government and military/police enforcement.
Poor democratic countries go nuts with insurgencies and warlords. See [random African democratic country].
Poor authoritarian countries that brutally execute would be
protestors don't have insurgencies or warlords. See [random Arab country
pre-GWOT].
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144840) |
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Date: March 14th, 2022 9:02 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
CR this is why Soviet Afghanistan was so peaceful
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144855) |
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Date: March 14th, 2022 9:11 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
irrelevant nitpicking and incorrect
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144892) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 9:21 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
The USSR propped up a brutal occupation government, but the mujahideen insuurgency still succeeded in that environment
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144929) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 9:35 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
The
foundations of the conflict were laid by the Saur Revolution, a 1978
coup wherein Afghanistan's communist party took power, initiating a
series of radical modernization and land reforms throughout the country.
These reforms were deeply unpopular among the more traditional rural
population and established power structures.[57] The repressive nature
of the "Democratic Republic",[58] which vigorously suppressed opposition
and executed thousands of political prisoners, led to the rise of
anti-government armed groups; by April 1979, large parts of the country
were in open rebellion.[59]
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144973) |
|
Date: March 14th, 2022 9:44 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
you're
missing the point. a repressive government was not enough to supress
insurgency, in fact inflamed it. they deposed the saur government
because the writing was on the wall that it was on thhe road to being
overthrown by anti-communist insurgents.
"Based on information from the KGB, Soviet leaders felt that
Prime Minister Hafizullah Amin's actions had destabilized the situation
in Afghanistan. Following his initial coup against and killing of
Taraki, the KGB station in Kabul warned Moscow that Amin's leadership
would lead to "harsh repressions, and as a result, the activation and
consolidation of the opposition."[154]"
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44145002) |
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Date: March 14th, 2022 8:42 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
Date: March 14th, 2022 5:24 AM
Author: ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,.,,..,..,.,,..,.,,.
i don't see how. ukraine's military is getting smashed to bits
more and more by the day. the thing to look for is 'battle of the
bulge'-style counter-offensives which push the opposing force back in a
substantial way. if the defender is constantly on the defense, and is
consistently losing ground rather than taking ground back, that's
militarily pretty bad. it usually indicates problems with the defender's
capacity to resupply or replenish forces.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144497)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144777) |
Date: March 14th, 2022 6:45 AM
Author: Drunkard
Russia is winning.
It’s pretty simple, they will starve/freeze out the Ukrainians in the cities.
Notice there is not a lot of on the ground reporting on what is
actually happening in the cities. That’s because they are cold and
dark. Limited power, limited internet, limited food. Shops are closed
and bare.
Ukrainian media says 2.5m have fled. It’s probably double that.
Taking the western part will be hard, but russia likely does not
need to do that by force. The Russians have successfully bombed supply
depots etc. and that’s all they really need to do. Once the Russians
connect Kiev to the south via the dienper and take control of Odessa,
it’s over. That could take a while, and probably will, but it does not
matter.
The strategic victory comes in the fall. Oil, but more
importantly natural gas and grain, are controlled by russia and the
Ukraine. With control over both, Putin can freeze europe, and food
prices go way up. Europe won’t starve because it can buy food from
abroad as it is sufficiently wealthy, but russia can wreck it
economically. This is a problem entirely of Europe’s own making by
becoming dependent on Russian food and fuel.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144586)
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Date: March 14th, 2022 8:46 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
Date: March 14th, 2022 7:14 AM
Author: Gay Grandpa
Teach the eurofags a lesson in morality
Normal men understand when you are outranked, you don't be a
catty bitch and try to take down the alpha dog you just push ahead with
your own life. Definitely never try to partner up with the alpha dog's
enemy to take him down, especially when that guy won't commit lol
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144621)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144789)
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Date: March 14th, 2022 8:47 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
your buddy DeVryMastersCandidate says that flattening the country will create an insurgency
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144791) |
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Date: March 14th, 2022 9:12 AM
Author: DevryMastersCandidate
Yes, which is precisely why it will never happen.
Just so we're clear, this is what "flattening a country" looks like:
https://www.arabnews.com/node/1291601/middle-east
In every single "battle" picture from Ukraine, the vast majority of structures are intact and unharmed.
In fact, most pictures of "devastated" Ukrainian cities look better than Detroit does today.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144903) |
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Date: March 14th, 2022 8:40 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
lmao
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144769) |
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Date: March 14th, 2022 8:43 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
Date: March 14th, 2022 6:45 AM
Author: Drunkard
Russia is winning.
It’s pretty simple, they will starve/freeze out the Ukrainians in the cities.
Notice there is not a lot of on the ground reporting on what is
actually happening in the cities. That’s because they are cold and dark.
Limited power, limited internet, limited food. Shops are closed and
bare.
Ukrainian media says 2.5m have fled. It’s probably double that.
Taking the western part will be hard, but russia likely does not
need to do that by force. The Russians have successfully bombed supply
depots etc. and that’s all they really need to do. Once the Russians
connect Kiev to the south via the dienper and take control of Odessa,
it’s over. That could take a while, and probably will, but it does not
matter.
The strategic victory comes in the fall. Oil, but more
importantly natural gas and grain, are controlled by russia and the
Ukraine. With control over both, Putin can freeze europe, and food
prices go way up. Europe won’t starve because it can buy food from
abroad as it is sufficiently wealthy, but russia can wreck it
economically. This is a problem entirely of Europe’s own making by
becoming dependent on Russian food and fuel.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144586)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144778) |
Date: March 14th, 2022 9:24 AM
Author: '"'"'"''"
All these "Russia is winning! Russia is losing!" threads are dumb as hell.
The conflict is more nuanced and you can't say what "winning" or "losing" is without defining the victory conditions.
Is "winning" just destroying Ukraine? Russia is a nuclear
superpower and, if that's the victory condition, it could just nuke
Ukraine and win. The ramifications would be disastrous for Russia, but
it would "win" if you're defining winning solely as "beating" Ukraine.
Is "winning" defined as regime change in Ukraine? Then no,
they're probably losing because I don't think the people will accept a
regime change at this point. Too many pissed off people in Ukraine.
Is "winning" defined as some ceasefire where Russia gets to
annex Crimea and de facto annex Donbas by turning it into two vassal
states? I think there's a good chance that Russia may get that. But is
it still "winning" if Russia's stock market, economy, and currency
collapses, the country is plunged into a massive depression, and their
military is revealed as weaker/less effective than expected?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144939) |
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Date: March 14th, 2022 10:28 AM
Author: .,..,....,...,.,.,....,,....,......,......,,.,.,..
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44145252) |
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Date: March 14th, 2022 9:31 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,..,.,.,:;,......;,..,;,:..:.::,.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5058206&forum_id=2#44144966) |
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